BruceDocumentBlog: Covid Links for Unusual Facts

It's a live map for every county in US. Polk County is High at 66 (10 per 100K per day), while places in FL have 500 (70 per 100k per day). I suspect, but don't know, this might be a current map (?).

CNN, What Subst. and High mean.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/28/health/substantial-or-high-covid-19-transmission-wellness/index.html

CDC has a live map by County (but the actual numbers don't auto pop like in the USA map.)

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#county-view

Specifically, a "Low" transmission is considered no more than 10 cases per 100,000 people, or a test positivity rate of less than 5%. "Moderate" transmission is 10 to 50 cases per 100,000 people, or a positivity rate between 5% and 8%. "Substantial" transmission is 50 to 100 cases per 100,000, or a positivity rate between 8% and 10%, and "high" transmission is 100 or more cases per 100,000 people or a positivity rate of 10% or higher.

Separate:
Future belongs to Digital Pathology

http://geekdoctor.blogspot.com/2021/07/the-future-belongs-to-digital-pathology.html

Kaiser Tool to Predict Surges

https://medcitynews.com/2021/07/kaiser-permanente-creates-tool-to-predict-upcoming-covid-19-surges/?rf=1

Bullsh## Book

Carl Bergstrom

https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08191DV5T/ref=redir_mobile_desktop?_encoding=UTF8&qid=1627790651&ref_=tmm_kin_swatch_0&sr=8-3

Join me in the fight against COVID misinformation

https://www.medpagetoday.com/opinion/kevinmd/93832

Kevin MD Tomi Mitchell MD

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BRUCE QUINN:
PEAKS AND PLUMMETS ARE COMMON, YET WE'RE MYSTIFIED!

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/wapo-mystified-falling-uk-cases-yet-peakplummet-pattern-bruce-quinn/

THE CDC's 7X SWITCH - BAIT AND SWITCH?

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/vinay-prasads-op-ed-cdc-mask-evidence-bruce-quinn/

LA TIMES PUBLISHES HIGHLY MISLEADING COVID STATS

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/los-angeles-times-publishes-highly-misleading-covid-numbers-quinn/

VERY UNUSAL COVID SURGE IN UPPER CLASS LA (MID JULY POST)

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/bruce-quinn-2831674_los-angeles-county-coronavirus-cases-tracking-activity-6821560353177112577-4UNM

See Later July 29:

https://deadline.com/2021/07/los-angeles-covid-surge-driven-by-white-affluent-neighborhoods-1234802675/

and Santa Monica in NYT

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/01/us/covid-santa-monica-icu.html

and August 5 at Crosstown LA (XtownLA / USC)

https://xtown.la/2021/08/05/delta-covid-surge-los-angeles/

I AM PRO MASKING BUT C'MON (LA WINTER)

https://twitter.com/brucequinnmd/status/1423766385243484162

BRUCE
All you need to know about infectiousness and evolution of Delta - UK

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/bruce-quinn-2831674_covid-activity-6817884184653254657-zFwm

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Masks Objective Data

Howard J, evidence review of face masks, PNAS Jan 2021

https://www.pnas.org/content/118/4/e2014564118

(Not, review of face mask policies.)
(Face mask policies affect eg. people in Target. Covid affects everyone 24/7.)

AIM, Bae, Surgical v cotton masks in COVID in 4 patients, July 2020

https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/m20-1342

Nature, 9/2020, Asadi, Efficacy of masks and face coverings

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-020-72798-7

PNAS, 5/2021, under review 9-2020 to 3-2021, Bazant and Bush

https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/118/17/e2018995118.full.pdf

20210812

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2021-08-11/despite-surge-california-doing-much-better-with-delta-variant-than-florida-texas-heres-why

https://theconversation.com/compare-the-flu-pandemic-of-1918-and-covid-19-with-caution-the-past-is-not-a-prediction-138895

Everyone should just wear a mask; swiftly effective.

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/12/health/covid-masks-cdc.html

Dakotas; Plummet Both

https://www.postbulletin.com/newsmd/coronavirus/6824462-North-Dakota-got-a-mask-mandate-South-Dakota-didnt.-COVID-19-cases-have-plummeted-in-both

Numerous WaPo national county maps (low med high COVID, low med high VAX)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/interactive/2021/vaccinated-counties-delta-hotspots/?itid=hp-top-table-main

CDC JAMA EARLY 2021

Brooks and Butler: Effectivenses of mask wearing

No argument for SOME reduction but much anecodotal or uncontrolled data like "temporal association"

Real data as high as 70% but sometimes lower in table

Self report confounds for other behaviors (avoiding crowded bars and indoor poker parties)

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2776536

Puzzlingly, there is an op ed but apepared in July 2020 of 8 months earlier

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2768532

Brooks, Butler, Redfield, Masking - time is Now.

Based on Wang et al, universal masking in a Mass. health system.

Wang et al here

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2768533

Not community masking - bad extrapolation

ALSO the HEALTHCARE impact was MODEST

the SARS-CoV-2 positivity rate among health care workers declined from 14.65% to 11.46%

October 2020

Lerner et al, Lerner Folkers Fauci

Low Tech interventions

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2772459

Focuses on "filtering efficacy" rather than "wearing effectiveness"

Surgical masks can reduce respiratory virus shedding in exhaled breath,⁵ and the filtering efficacy of some materials used in cloth masks may approach that of surgical masks.⁶

LEUNG et al

any LAB STUDy biasd to best performance

Any RWE study biasd for "choice of person" eg avoid bar

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8238571/

Substack - Emily Oster - We Don't Have Needed Data

https://emilyoster.substack.com/p/we-still-do-not-have-the-covid-data

Delta variant means anxiety in California

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2021-08-20/why-delta-variant-makes-mask-and-vaccine-mandates-essential

Bloomberg - too much caution is bad for kids

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2021-08-20/covid-in-the-schools-too-much-caution-will-hurt-children

Fast Comapny - Can schools open safely By brandon guthrie

https://www.fastcompany.com/90668041/how-can-schools-reopen-safely-heres-what-an-epidemiologist-suggests?partner=rss&utm_source=rss&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=rss+fastcompany&utm_content=rss

SAME Schools can open safely- An epidem. describes.

https://theconversation.com/schools-can-reopen-safely-an-epidemiologist-describes-what-works-and-whats-not-worth-the-effort-165594

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WAPO. Europes growing mask ask: Medical grade

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/europe-coronavirus-masks-regulations/2021/01/20/23463c08-5a74-11eb-a849-6f9423a75ffd_story.html

Delt and hybrid immunity - Jenkins

https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-coronavirus-delta-hybrid-natural-immunity-vaccine-breakthrough-cases-11629492042

CANADIAN PAPER on 10% BLUE MASKS - - - - -

PAPER

https://aip.scitation.org/doi/10.1063/5.0057100

PRESS RELEASE

https://uwaterloo.ca/news/media/study-supports-widespread-use-better-masks-curb-covid-19

DAILY MAIL

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9914969/Popular-blue-surgical-face-masks-NOT-stop-people-infected-COVID-19.html

NYT - US gets crash course in pandemic SCIENCE uncertainy

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/22/health/coronavirus-covid-usa.html

Klompas rec N95 masks May 2021

https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciab539/6296401?login=true

https://twitter.com/brucequinnmd/status/1430052553576771584

https://twitter.com/Oshoaum1/status/1430219093987184643/photo/1

Bruce Table of Masks

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/bruce-quinn-2831674_im-not-sure-the-exact-origin-of-this-table-activity-6836698201479872512-O9pm

Yet NYT says "virus can't cut through paper"

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/26/health/covid-breakthrough-infection.html

As many Americans begin the familiar exercise of questioning and calling off plans, scientists are stressing the continued importance of mask-wearing to reduce transmission and infection.

“If you get infected and breathe virus out, it will get trapped by your mask,” said Dr. John Moore, a professor of microbiology and immunology at Weill Cornell. “These viruses don’t have pairs of scissors that can cut through masks.”

Bruce Pew Polarized

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/bruce-quinn-2831674_covid-activity-6836698958950223872-lgTB

Masks may not have "caused" Surge dip in SF area

https://www.sfgate.com/coronavirus/article/Bay-Area-COVID-delta-mask-mandate-work-when-county-16413589.php

NYT has 3 articles on Mask Policy, none of which discuss efficacy except one which is hand waving and mistitled.

Aug 30 Hard questions we're not asking

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/30/opinion/us-covid-policy.html

July 29

If we must wear masks we need a smarter approach

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/29/opinion/mask-mandate-cdc-covid.html

August 10

We studied 1M students...